Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this battle on career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio will be a big factor and there a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and is based on finishing competitions. At a five round combat this strategy is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of his own but conserves cardio to get a outcome. On the toes both guys can have their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is very likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the floor. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills should find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes using a riskier design. He keeps his hands low but does throw competitive combinations. The major differential lies at the grappling department. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and relies on high risk submissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy rarely succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and look for trips and takedowns to the mat in which he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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