This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight PPV card in Vegas. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week and that I can not wait to chase these huge prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $50k belongs to 1st place with a total of $250k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only tournament for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. I won my very first seat into it last week and will try to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw 100 or so entries at the $50k prize, and then I will likely have a few shots in the Qualifier. I’ll also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Jon Jones — $9,600
Jones is a lock for my cash game lineup this week in his -800 betting line. I’ll take that free square and proceed. He should dominate this battle and he can complete it on the feet or the floor. I expect him to score more than 100-points and I am totally fine with paying 9.6k for it. When I am making lineups, I would like to attempt to have at least 10x from every fighter. Together with Jones being 9.6k, I want at least 96 points from him. That is the way I look at it. If this was a 3-round fight and I didn’t think Jones would find a finish then perhaps he just scores 80-85 DK points in a win, and at $9.6k I would not want that. Nonetheless, this is a potential 5-round battle, and I do expect Jones to control, so that cost is fine with me. For GPPs, I believe that you can get away from Jon Jones since he will be quite highly owned. If he is 50% owned by the area and he simply scores 85-90 DK points, then will kill off half the field because that would not be sufficient points to place him that $50k lineup.
GPP play of this week — Ben Askren — $9,000
If Ben Askren wins this battle it will be out of his wrestling. He is one of the greatest wrestlers in MMA history and now he is finally getting an opportunity from the UFC after dominating every organization he has been in. He won’t wish to strike for long against Robbie Lawler, so I expect him to take takedowns right away and string wrestle until he gets them. When he receives top control there is not likely to become a lot Robbie can perform on the ground and he must take a beating as long as it is on the mat. On DraftKings, each takedown is 5 points compared to 0.5 points to get a substantial strike. A man like Askren can go out there and get 10 takedowns in 15-minutes and that’s what makes him a great play if he can think of the success.
Underdog drama of the week — Diego Sanchez — $7,100
This is not the Diego Sanchez of older, but I think he has what it takes to conquer Mickey Gall. On the toes, the quantity from Sanchez should acquire it there as long as he doesn’t get knocked out. The chin of Diego is exactly what I worry about most nowadays, but Gall isn’t much of a striker and I don’t see him becoming knockout. In addition, I don’t understand that Gall can get takedowns, and I believe Sanchez are the likely guy to be on top if the struggle hits the floor. A submission is Gall’s best chance at a win here and Sanchez hasn’t been filed. We have to have underdogs in our DK lineups and at $7.1k Diego enables us to cover up for those men like Jon Jones or even Ben Askren. If he can grind out a determination win here I think he can get 10x that salary and when we could get a win from him in that inexpensive salary, then I think we’ll probably be in line for this $50k win if we hit our other 5 spots.
Fade of this week — Anthony Smith ($6,600)
I might wind up using every fighter because I’m making so many lineups this week, but Anthony Smith is the man I need the least of. I attempt to get a favorite for you guys as my fade of this week but I don’t think there are any must fade favorites this week. Rather, I’m going with the 1 fighter I do not think stands a chance. I believe a fluke KO is the only path to victory for Smith and that he actually doesn’t have the one punch/kick power it would take to pull off. I would be amazed when Smith pulled off the upset this week and if I had been making 20 or less lineups, he’d be an easy fade.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I am 58-37 for +177.62un (+$17,762) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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