This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Russia. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a lot of money from this week contemplating it is a smaller card and starts at 10:15am ET. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at that $25k decoration, then I will probably take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a great quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I really don’t think there are any money locks nowadays, so I wanted to bring a cash plan I use a lot of the moment, which can be punting in cash and accepting a loss. I don’t think Roxy gets the win , but she is just $6.9k and I believe she gets 15-minutes of action. I like the floor which comes with that and punting along with her cheap price enables us to fit in a lot of those higher favorites with our other five spots. We don’t want 6 wins in money games, so that I do not believe we need to even try for this. I like playing cash games if I can lock in 25-35 points at a loss from Roxy in her cheap price I’m totally ok with that. I always look for 4 wins in money and above 350-400 DK points. That is my goal every week. Let everyone else make the errors and just shoot for a score which can beat 50 percent or more of this area.
GPP play of the week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This is an all-in struggle for GPPs in my view and I like Overeem among my best plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so I would be amazed to see this go all 5 rounds. In addition, I believe Overeem will be too quick for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is amounts ahead of him at the game that is spectacular. The only shooter Oleinik has of winning on the toes would be by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing submission. Besides those two results, Overeem will smoke him on the toes. I also believe Overeem will work his way back into his toes if he’s taken down and the more Oleinik shoots for takedowns the faster he will gas out. I enjoy the -175 ITD line which is included with Overeem here and I think he gets a finish in around 1 or 2. That should give us near 100 DK points or even more, and I want that in a lot of my own GPP lineups.
Underdog drama of this week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no longer the underdog on the betting line (-120) however DraftKings salaries do not change once they’re released. We receive Fiziev here for $800 cheaper than Mustafaev and he’s preferred to get the win. I was very impressed by what I saw from this child and I concur with all the line movement. I really do think he has the win here, but it is the DK worth that we would like to make certain to find exposure to the weekend. I think he’s a great play in cash games with the current value and I hope to be obese on him in GPPs as well. We must roster underdogs in our lineups and when we can use a favorite as one of these”underdogs” I am usually on board for it.
Fade of this week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of this week for her $9.3k price label. I really do think she gets the win here since I mentioned earlier, I simply don’t see the way she can pay off that salary without a finish. I don’t see her shooting for any takedowns in this match, and I don’t want to rely on her getting knockdown points . So, we’re only likely to be getting 0.5 points per significant attack, and then the 30-point win bonus when she wins a choice. If that is the case, we’d need her to land over 126 sig strikes simply to get more than 10x value. I really don’t see that being true and that I believe she more likely scores 80-85 DK points in a decision triumph. At her wages, that will not win anyone the big $25k. That’s the prize I am shooting so that is why she is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 69-41 to get +237.39un (+$23,739) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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