BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

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04 October

BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

Written by Jared Yeo

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This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Sweden. It was a 13-fight card, but we only had Oezdemir/Latifi drop off, so be sure they are not in your lineups. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 3rd seat this week. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at the $25k prize, and then I am going to take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good amount of play into money games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my most confident pick of this card this week and he’s also the biggest betting favorite on the card. I believe we could pile this main event in cash games and utilize both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not sure whether I will do this or not. I will for sure have Gustafsson within my cash lineup however and he’s who I’m starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to work with I think he’s the highest ceiling on the card and I believe he gets a complete in this fight. Possibly with numerous takedowns. He will be exceedingly well known in GPPs so in the event that you would like to escape from him I believe the tournaments are the areas for that. I’ll be locking him into my cash lineup though .
GPP drama of the week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I enjoy Evinger in her struggle and I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s best path to victory is punishing Lansberg on the ground and that scores tremendously if she can accomplish that. In addition, I believe she could find a finish. I believe she’s in play in all formats and I really do think she’s 100+ upside down here and that’s the reason she is my GPP play of the week. There are not many UFC matchups I would say that for using Evinger at this point in her career, but this one looks perfect for her. I believe she dominates this fight and ends it with ground in pound in round 1 or 2. If that is true, she should score well and win a person $25k.
Underdog drama of the week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I feel pressured to play with Devin Clark this week because he is just $7.5k however he is the present betting favorite. I love that type of worth on DraftKings and that’s what’s forcing me to roster him. We must include”underdogs” in our DK lineups and when we can really get a favored, or possibly a roster with 6 favorites, then which helps our odds of hitting all 6 conflicts and hopefully taking down a GPP. Clark ought to be hot this week also due to this value so I think he’s in play as a money game cube and if you want, but in GPPs you’ll want to have him in more than 33% of your lineups to get any leverage over the area.
Fade of this week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is an easy fade for me this week. She’s $8.6k however she is the underdog about the betting line. She’s also +365 to acquire ITD. If I am paying that price on DK I want higher completing upside or someone who’ll be heading for a great deal of takedowns. I don’t see her having a lot of a ceiling inside this fight even though she does win so that I do not see her being on the $25k lineup. That’s why I will be complete disappearing Santana this week. If I had been making 150 lineups then I’d add her in the mix, but I’d need 50 lineups until I even contemplated using her.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 79-48 for +256.49u (+$25,649) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

Jared Yeo

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BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

Jared Yeo

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