Vegas Over/Under: 35.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 36-46 The Bet: Avoid but lean over
To be quite frank, I would recommend leaning over no matter where the line is set for the Dallas Mavericks. And that’s for one simple reason: Rick Carlisle.
The head coach is a genius at milking talent out of his players, routinely turning castoffs and unwanted pieces into quality turning members. He has done after year, and 2017-18 ought to be no different.
Except it is slightly different. Because while this team may be rebuilding during the last few seasons of Dirk Nowitzki’s career (assuming the legendary 4 ever chooses to retire), it eventually has different talent at quite a few distinct positions.
Dennis Smith Jr., Seth Curry, Wesley Matthews, Harrison Barnes and Nowitzki makes for a potent starting lineup, and the Mavs will mix and match for Yogi Ferrell and Nerlens Noel around the Ground. That’s far more talent and upside down than the team owned during the 2016-17 campaign, and it went 33-49.
Seasons from the pieces that are frontcourt? Barnes with a year of experience in a major role under his belt? Smith added as a Rookie of the Year danger into the rotation?
Vegas set the over/under aggressively with this roster, but reasons to think they’re sold a bit brief still exist.
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