Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this fight career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a big factor and there’s a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with complete power and is based on finishing competitions. In a five round combat this approach is a risky one that is going to backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio for a outcome. On the feet both guys may get their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills should find Blachowicz a complete when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is quick with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the feet using a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw competitive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling department. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high hazard admissions off his back. Against UFC calibre competitions this strategy rarely succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and look for trips and takedowns to the mat in which he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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